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Features

March 2001

Eight mistakes
you can make in decision-making ... and how to avoid them

BY DONALD CARUTH

Decision-making? It’s not the only job of a manager. In fact, according to management guru Peter Drucker, managers do not generally spend a great deal of time making decisions.

But decision-making is a specific managerial task and the one that has the most far-reaching consequences attached to it. When a manager makes a “good” decision, it often seems that few people ever notice. But when a manager makes a “bad” decision, it may be remembered for years to come. Therefore, it is imperative that managers recognize the mistakes to avoid in decision-making. Eight of the most common errors are described here.

Mistake No. 1: Failure to Recognize a Problem. Frequently managers operate on a frantic day-to-day basis without realizing that a problem exists. These managers complain, but seem resigned to the fact that things are the way they are because of the “system” and someone else must take the necessary positive action to change anything that may be wrong. When this happens, managers are abdicating their managerial responsibilities. Anytime that schedules are presenting obstacles or operations are not running according to plan, a manager should suspect that a problem exists. It is incumbent upon the manager to take action to aid in resolution of the problem. Managers, so it appears, frequently pass off problem-recognition responsibility because of lack of experience or because of the attitude that to recognize a problem carries with it the obligation to do something about the situation. Therefore, no recognition equates to no responsibility for solving the problem. You can put your head in the sand.

Mistake No. 2: Incorrect Problem Identification. Proper identification of the problem is the next step in effective decision-making. This step is also a most difficult one because symptoms are often mistaken for the real problem and effects are often confused with causes.

Symptoms and effects are mistaken for the problem because, as a rule, they are more obvious. Managers attack the obvious irritations not only because they are apparent, but also because of the environmental pressures within which decisions are made. Since managers function within a very dynamic environment, time always seems to be one of their chief adversaries. Thus, the obvious offers less resistance. Other factors aiding in mistaken problem identification are inaccurate perception of the situation, lack of experience and lack of skill in decision-making.

Any decision that fails to deal with the real problem or does not address the source of difficulty is, in effect, a bad decision because it will most likely produce an unsatisfactory solution. It will also result in further decisions having to be made to solve the problem.

Mistake No. 3: Insufficient Consideration of Alternatives. For any problem that confronts a manager there are probably at least three and maybe as many as six alternative solutions. Failure to think through the alternatives exposes a manager to the risk of overlooking a sound, practical decision. Thinking through alternatives means not only expanding one’s mind to generate ideas — thinking outside the box — but also considering the possible repercussions that may come about by selecting each alternative — the unsought consequences of a course of action.

Decision-making requires careful thought, as well as investigation beyond the obvious. Reasons for not thinking through alternatives range from the pressures of time to misperceptions on the part of the decision-maker.

Decisions, when alternatives are not carefully considered, will not be as effective as they should be and, more than likely, will result in someone else having to make another decision at a later time.

Mistake No. 4: Inadequate Evaluation of Risk. Every decision should be evaluated in terms of costs and benefits or in terms of the risks involved and the results to be obtained. Failure to do so often produces high-cost, complex solutions where the payoff is minimal.

In considering the aspect of cost versus benefit, a manager has several methods available to handle risk so that the most effective decision is made for a particular situation. These methods include avoiding the risk by seeking lower-risk solutions, reducing it by training employees, or insuring against it through insurance or hedging. If the decision maker evaluates risk systematically, a more educated or calculated manner of handling the decision will follow.

Mistake No. 5: Repetitive Decisions. ‰ Page 68 From Page 66 Many managers handle the same problem over and over, making decisions in each instance on a case-by-case basis. Recurring problems can be more efficiently and effectively resolved through the development of policies, procedures, rules, regulations and the like. If a manager lacks authority to initiate standing plans of this nature, he or she should refer the recurrent problem to those who can develop such solutions. Situations that cause recurring problems will not, in most cases, just go away. Thus, continuing to treat the problem on a case-by-case basis is ineffective and inefficient management.

Mistake No. 6: Unnecessary Decisions. “Fools rush in where angels fear to tread” is an old saying with sound advice for decision-makers. Occasionally the problem confronting a manager is of such a nature that the best action is to do nothing, to simply watch and wait. While few problem situations are likely to improve on their own, there is always the possibility that they will not deteriorate any further, either. To take action in such a case may only subject a manager to unnecessary risk — risk that could be avoided through an “action in inaction” strategy. Because every decision entails risk, it is important for a manager to know when to take risk and when to sidestep it. But when the no-action approach is used, a manager must continue to observe the situation and take action if further developments merit it.

Mistake No. 7: Delayed Decisions. There is no evidence to support the contention that decisions improve with age, that the longer a decision is put off, the higher the quality of the eventual decision will be. On the other hand, fast decisions — not snap decisions — have at least two advantages. First, an expeditious decision gives a manager more time to correct a situation, should the original decision prove to be the wrong decision. Second, a quick decision allows a manager to move on to other areas requiring his or her attention.

Mistake No. 8: Lack of Follow-up. You have to follow through on every decision implementation to see if the decision is actually producing the result expected. Not every decision is going to be as effective as you hoped. A manager must always monitor the situation for awhile to determine if things are working according to plan.

Many times decision-makers are so relieved to have made a decision that they wish to forget it and go on to other things; they neglect effective follow-through.

Although decision-making is not the only job of a manager, it is an important task and most certainly one for which a manager will be long remembered should he or she “blow it.” Praise seems to be rarely accorded to the manager who renders an effective decision. Perhaps that is because a manager is paid to make good decisions.

Bad decisions, on the other hand, may live forever. If you are a manager on the way up, you really don’t want that kind of fame on your record. 

       


February 2001